<p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">和平佔中運動很大機會於下月1日正式啟動,發起人陳健民接受專訪時預計,約數千人「坐低」佔領,警方需要至少2、3天清場。他強調,要求參加者嚴格遵守紀律,包括服從台上指揮、不許戴口罩面具、被捕時不可反抗等,一旦場面失控,就會宣布解散。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">陳健民說,佔中後的路向仍有待商討,但佔中的目標是爭取2017年特首普選,政改爭議落幕後,佔中不再帶領其後的抗爭。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-weight: bold; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">一旦失控即宣布解散</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">佔中早前發起「為民主登高」、「8.31集會」和剃頭等行動作為熱身,陳健民說,自己始終是學者出身,為鍛煉控制群眾情緒,他特意主持這幾次行動,亦希望支持者作好精神狀態準備,不單出於憤怒而佔中。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">他表示,對佔領者有「鐵一般的紀律」要求,確保運動和平:</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">一、必須接受台上指揮,包括何時解散;</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">二、不許戴口罩或面具,避免有人蒙面做出過激行為;</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">三、不可使用大聲公或展示標語;</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">四、被捕時不可反抗或大力掙扎,以免刺激情緒;</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">五、不可搶鐵馬或攻擊警察;</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">陳健民表示,一旦場面失控或出現衝突,佔中將宣布解散;但由於不想促成解散,暫時未能透露具體情況。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">他說,若遇上少數激進派人士「搞事」,最重要是群眾合作杯葛,例如喝倒采或要求對方離開,佔中糾察隊也會強硬對付。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">陳健民估計,計及第一圈參加者(不拒捕、在法庭不聘請律師抗辯)和第二圈參加者(同樣不拒捕但在法庭聘請律師辯護),約有數千人「坐低」佔中,當中包括至少17名立法會議員,以及律師、學者、醫生、牧師等首次參加公民抗命的人;加上第三圈參加者(不佔領但以合法方式支援佔中),總人數「肯定超過1萬人」。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">他強調,佔中要成功,第三圈參加者十分重要,可以協助運水和乾糧、為佔領人士打氣等。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-weight: bold; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">香港未來局勢料更壞</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">陳健民相信,以7月2日凌晨「預演佔中」警方用5小時抬走500人推算,正式佔中時,至少須2至3天清場,若圍觀者眾,就算加強警力也未必能加快清場速度。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">他說,佔中會否對市民造成很大干擾,視乎政府是否想「搞事」,因為參加者不拒捕、不反抗,清場應只是幾天內的事。他希望市民明白,公民表達自由是香港核心價值,短暫的干預或帶來長遠和諧。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">至於佔中能否影響全國人大常委會的決定,陳健民強調,爭取民主是一場戰爭而非戰役,最重要是維持信念,北京一再違反普選承諾,佔中是基本尊嚴的表達。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">不過,陳健民坦言,香港未來局勢肯定更壞,社會愈來愈兩極化,看不到如何管治下去。他相信,未來須組織比佔中更強的群眾力量抗爭,年輕人會走得更前、行動更快,到社會多年後認為不談判不行時,就是另一次改變的契機。他希望泛民黨派如民主黨和公民黨等研究整合,令談判隊伍更有力,雖然學生會在民主路上扮演更重要的角色,但他寄語泛民不應氣餒,「解局仍要靠班中年人談判。」</span></p><h1><span style="color: #000000; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-weight: bold; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">「我放棄晒一切嘅嘢」</span></h1><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">「原本我是最溫和的學者,溫和到民主黨會請我演講、民建聯也會請我去政治人才培訓班;中聯辦要找一班民主派學者去北京和智囊開會,我做團長。但現在,我被北京打成最極端、最恐怖勢力的代表。」</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">中大社會學系副教授陳健民形容,佔中百分百扭曲了他的人生。過去20多年,陳健民致力推動中國公民社會發展,在這範疇甚具權威性,曾為不少內地慈善救援組織出任顧問。2008年四川大地震,他有份協助協調國內非政府組織的救災工作,向時任總理溫家寶交報告,他說:「對中國來說,陳健民就等於『公民社會』,那四個字由我帶入中國。」</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-weight: bold; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">被勸告別回內地</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">不過,發動佔中後,陳健民無法自由進出內地,去年6月他到深圳參加論壇臨時被取消,他說聽聞是省公安廳下的命令,各方好友亦提醒他不要再到內地,否則會有危險。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">他坦言:「我放棄晒自己一切嘅嘢」,當中還包括為與中文大學中國研究服務中心擔任主任,以及離開加入超過15年的城市電訊(香港電視前身),不再出任獨立非執行董事。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">他說:「全部都要放(棄),我知道只要我喺度,啲平台會全部冧晒(這些平台會全部倒掉)。佢(北京)無所不用其極地打(壓)我,喺佢整冧所有嘢之前(在它搗毀所有東西之前),我唔想害人,惟有自己走出來。我不只是放低事業,而是一生的天職。」</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt; padding: 0pt; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;"> </p><p style="margin-bottom:0pt; margin-top:0pt; "><span style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial; background-color: #ffffff; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial;">陳健民表示,對於中國,他有很多事看不過眼,例如當局打壓四川地震遇難者家屬,但他過去有工作在身,未必能發聲,現在反而更能隨心所欲:「有辣有唔辣啦,以前忍辱負重,而家唔再需要忍。」他說,中國公民社會已經播種,放棄有關工作,不會感到遺憾。</span></p>