<div><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">承平日久，我们已经对自己所处境遇愈发模糊，总以为已经搭上人类史上速度最快的复兴号列车，可以在没有尽头的上升螺旋中享受时代红利。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">这种依赖欲望和幻觉得以运转的本能，却在2017年被连敲几次丧钟，先是年初一篇《深圳两套房，面临失业，中年财务危机引发家庭悲剧》刷爆中产朋友圈，接下来“华为开始清理34 岁以上职员”的传闻又加剧了技术白领的焦虑感，最新的案例，则是前几天中兴42岁老程序员坠楼事件，为全年划上一个悲情句点。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">人们纷纷开始兔死狐悲，物伤其类——“这种失业悲剧会轮到我头上吗？非体制内的工作能干一辈子吗？”</span></p><div></div><img src="/EditBackyard/EditorData/Photo/2017/Dec/121920171640.jpeg" border="0" alt="" width="640" height="465" /></div><div> </div><div> <p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: #0b0b0b; font-size: 12pt; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">小气候：内卷化过剩</strong></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">为什么丧钟先从华为中兴敲起？</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">首要原因就是以这两家公司为代表的国内通信业，已经将整个产业彻底寡头化。随着华为中兴崛起，原本赚取巨额利润的西方通信厂家，不仅丧失了中国市场，在全球绝大部分地区也丧失了优势份额。</span></p><div><img src="/EditBackyard/EditorData/Photo/2017/Dec/121920171640-2.jpeg" border="0" alt="" width="486" height="283" /></div><div> </div><div><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">英国《经济学人》杂志曾如此评价华为：“它（华为）的崛起，是外国跨国公司的灾难。”仅从通信业全球四强的财务表现上看，中外已经各占50%市场份额，而华为还在继续快速增长。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">即便美国市场对中国通信企业紧闭大门，华为中兴也伴随着“战狼”在全球更多第三世界国家拿到新的市场机遇。更别提在如此高密度竞争下，过去十几年中，西方公司在中国公司面前已经节节败退，摩托罗拉、朗讯、阿尔卡特、北电网络、西门子等都从这个行业退出了。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">这就带来一个新问题，当行业被寡头吃净，竞争对手半死不活后，史书中无数次上演的经典镜头就不远了：狡兔死，走狗烹。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">通信行业的特点和华为这种模块化公司的运行方式，将部分有技术深度的员工搞得缺乏广度，适应性非常窄。时间一长，就成了人类学家所说的“内卷化发展”——长期从事一项相同的工作，并且保持在一定的层面，没有任何变化和改观的轮回状态。这种行为通常是一种自我懈怠，自我消耗。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">而无论是提升人员效率，还是提升公司活力，已经牢牢控制赛道的霸主都没有动力赡养老员工，更别提一屋子早已进入内卷化状态的老婆孩子热炕头。人力资本也是符合供求规律的，当你的替换件太多，导致同一空间内劳动力相对过剩，那么对于公司而言，你的确连鸡肋都不如。更惨的是，由于竞争对手死伤殆尽，老骨头们连跳槽都没处去。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">老员工就对技术型企业这么没有价值吗？</span></p><div> </div><div> </div><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: #0b0b0b; font-size: 12pt; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">大气候：这场风波迟早要来</strong></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">知道脸书老板扎克伯格是怎么称呼40岁以上的员工吗？“Greyglers”，字面意思就是有着灰白头发的员工。早在2007年，扎克伯格就在斯坦福大学做出了判断：“年轻人更聪明。”</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">年龄歧视早已是硅谷公开的秘密——</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-style: italic; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 12pt;">据Business Insider调查，年过50岁科技行业人士中，几乎所有的受访者都表示自己在满50岁以后曾遭遇年龄歧视；</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-style: italic; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 12pt;">美国退休人员协会的调查显示，三分之二的较年长科技行业从业者表示，他们在工作中目睹或经历过年龄歧视；</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-style: italic; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 12pt;">科技招聘平台Hired的调查显示，当科技行业从业者达到45岁时，他们会发现自己能找到的工作减少；</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-style: italic; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 12pt;">据美国劳工普查分析统计局数据显示，技术工人在20-30岁左右的时候薪资水平会急剧的增加，但到了40岁后这个增速会放缓，年龄再大，薪水就开始下降；</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-style: italic; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 12pt;">据Intel去年公布的裁员数据，裁掉员工中有近八成超过40岁，超过40岁被裁掉的几率是40岁以下员工的2.5倍，而且年龄越大被裁掉的可能性就越大。</span></p></div><div><img src="/EditBackyard/EditorData/Photo/2017/Dec/121920171640-3.jpeg" border="0" alt="" width="580" height="600" /> </div><div> </div><div><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">国内招聘网站拉勾，就在上个月刚刚发布了一个调查，结果发现国内科技公司员工更敏感地体会到职场年龄歧视的存在，只有10.6%的受访者相信公司不会抛弃年纪大的员工，52%的受访者觉得年龄越大换工作的压力越大，而国内科技行业的警戒线也比硅谷的40岁更低——35岁。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">我们当然可以为这样的现状找出很多原因，比如做技术是一种“晋升否则出局”的职业、日益迅速的技术变革让知识过时速度加快、老员工不能996……但其实我们可以从一个更简单的维度观察这个事情：</span><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 12pt;">薪酬倒挂</strong>。</p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">薪酬倒挂是指，入职时间短、资历浅的员工收入，高于入职时间长、资历深的员工收入。这种情况即便在BAT也比比皆是，更不要提规模更小管理更混乱的互联网技术企业。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">为什么同层级新员工收入能够高于老员工？因为公司认定两件事情：一，老员工的经验积累不决定企业生死存亡；二，老员工的离职并不影响企业存续发展。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">可以说，近十年来中国最炙手可热的行业：TMT、互联网等技术公司，都属于这个范畴。技术进步的创造性毁灭效应，已经无情彰显——微博自2014年起的娱乐化视频化重生，和新浪门户老班底有什么关联？阿里和腾讯如今纷纷重资押宝泛文娱产业，和当年做QQ淘宝的团队有什么关联？李彦宏坐进无人驾驶汽车，和当年搞底层搜索代码的团队有什么关联？陌陌做直播搞成行业巨头，和最早搞LBS社交的团队有什么关联？</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">不要说十年，恐怕一年后，谁都不敢说自己手头的技术产品还有什么价值。除了少数领袖人物，这个永远淘汰永远革命永远进步的领域，对绝大多数螺丝钉是没什么积累、家底可言的。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">可以说，</span><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 12pt;">只要是在市场机制下存在薪酬倒挂的行业，基本都是不养老的</strong>，下岗只不过是时间和运气问题。<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 微软雅黑, 黑体, 宋体, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; text-indent: 30px;">而那些被华为淘汰的34岁以上群体，不过是2005年之前毕业的第一拨高等教育扩招和不分配就业的大学生劳动力，随着高等教育普及化的加速，未来这样的悲鸣只会越发普遍。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">现在明白，为什么血统最纯正的中产阶级是医生、律师这些越老越吃香的行业了吧。</span></p></div><div> </div><div><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"> </p><div><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: #0b0b0b; font-size: 12pt; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">认清自己，放弃幻想</strong></div><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">如今所有中产阶级都乐于声讨“智商税”，但不知道最大的智商税或者认知陷阱，就是中产阶级这个定义本身。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">人们为维持中产阶级的身份认同，而不断付出的一切成本，其实就是焦虑的主要来源。为了支付门票成本，中产阶级需要不断的工作和赚钱，这些收入并没有令身心更自由，反而成为攀爬社会金字塔的新动力，如同抱薪救火。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">在今年所有的“失业即崩塌”悲剧中，那些悲剧家庭都属于或接近这个状态——将主要收入都用来维系更精致的生活，高收入来源一旦失去，家庭就“一夜回到解放前”。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 12pt;">究竟是什么给了大家底气，以为自己远高于国民平均水平的收入可以长期维持？是马云们长得慈眉善目吗？又是什么让人们理直气壮地不为自己可能凄凉的晚景做打算？难道不知道如果没有财政补贴，早就有二十几个省的养老保险处于亏空状态了？</strong></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">三十年的和平周期和近十年的飞速发展，让太多人误以为自己并非凡俗，既天资聪颖又生逢盛世，更由于这波技术红利精准作用于理工科男性，激发出一些“强国价值观”也就不足为奇。</span></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.75em; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">惟愿梦醒时分，摔得不要太疼。</span></p> </div></div><div> </div>