北京的雾霾因何卷土重来?

<div></div><div><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">一向以笼罩着浓重的工业烟雾闻名的中国首都北京,过去几个月享受着更频繁到来的蓝天。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">去年,北京市空气PM2.5(对人体健康极为有害的微小颗粒物)平均浓度下降了逾五分之一,这显示出中国将重工业迁出北京、减少煤炭依赖的意愿正在对环境产生积极影响。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">然而,北京市的空气污染水平总是随着经济规划的变化而波动,表明雾霾的缓解或许只是暂时的&#8212;&#8212;在冬季控制污染措施取消后,本月北京连续多天出现雾霾天气,让人加剧了这种担忧。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;"></p><div style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 35.2px; color: #d66d06; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;"><img src="http://i.ftimg.net/images/2018/03/2f90480ece9dbf9925f5ab5a3f00e78e.png" style="margin: auto; padding: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; border-width: medium; border-style: none; max-width: 100%; display: block;" alt="" /></div><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">&#8220;中国过去几年的减污努力举世瞩目,&#8221;位于芝加哥的能源政策研究所(Energy Policy Institute)的所长迈克尔&#8226;格林斯通(Michael Greenstone)说,&#8220;接下来的问题是&#8230;&#8230;他们是否会转向那种调控方式,即更好地实现对于延续强劲经济增长势头的迫切需要。&#8221;</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">自去年开始,北京驱逐了成千上万外来务工人员,与此同时,北京和上海周边的很多小型工厂被拆除。此举减少了与家庭取暖和灰色经济活动相关的排放。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">去年11月至今年3月,在通常因燃煤供暖导致雾霾天气增多的冬季供暖期间,北京实现了空气污染水平的下降。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">这部分得益于政策制定者的协同努力&#8212;&#8212;转用价格更贵的液化天然气供暖,使中国去年的液化天然气进口增长了46%。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">此外,位于邻近北京的河北省、规模在全国排在前列的一些钢厂被要求减产一半,到今年3月中旬为止,以进一步减少冬季供暖期间令人窒息的雾霾。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">绿色和平组织专家柳力(Lauri Myllyvirta)表示,这些措施加在一起,&#8220;空前快速地&#8221;改善了北京的空气质量。但它们也带来了意想不到的后果:&#8220;这些限制措施导致工业生产从冬季转至夏季、从北京地区转至中国其他地区。&#8221;</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;"></p><div style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 35.2px; color: #d66d06; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;"><img src="http://i.ftimg.net/images/2018/03/5e31ec6d8bf741ac2f6034e0f35f9d28.png" style="margin: auto; padding: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; border-width: medium; border-style: none; max-width: 100%; display: block;" alt="" /></div><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;"></p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">与此同时,2018年初的刺激支出可能使得工业活动大增,从而导致重度空气污染卷土重来。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">例如,去年10月中共十九大召开前,工业活动大幅上扬如此之巨,以至于中国的年度煤炭消耗量出现了3年来的首次增长。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">中国东北省份2012年至2016年的经济低迷帮助减少了这一时期的总体颗粒物排放量。这有助于中国实现到2017年12月截止的&#8220;十三五&#8221;规划中提出的环境目标。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">全国能源消耗量自那时起开始攀升。通常情况下,由于春节期间全国放假,1月和2月的用电量不会太高。但今年头两个月,电力消耗量出现了创纪录的逾11%的增长,这很可能是由建筑、钢铁和水泥生产等重工业活动造成的。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;"></p><div style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 35.2px; color: #d66d06; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;"><img src="http://i.ftimg.net/images/2018/03/d335218799c45b62fc84fe347ec1f025.png" style="margin: auto; padding: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; border-width: medium; border-style: none; max-width: 100%; display: block;" alt="" /></div><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;"></p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">能源经济和财务分析研究所(Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis)主管之一蒂姆&#8226;巴克利(Tim Buckley)说:&#8220;(重工业)是能源密集型行业。通过地方政府支出来刺激经济活动和提振就业也往往依赖于重工业。&#8221;</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">然而,巴克利表示,这些短期经济收益意味着更少的蓝天,加重本就烟雾弥漫的3月的污染,&#8220;为了给重工业提供能源,你会燃烧一切&#8212;&#8212;煤炭、天然气、核能&#8212;&#8212;这正是我担心的。&#8221;</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">韩碧如(Lucy Hornby)北京补充报道。</p><p style="padding: 0px 0px 1em; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.336px; color: #333333; font-family: &quot;Helvetica Neue&quot;, Verdana, Arial, &quot;Hiragino Sans GB&quot;, &quot;WenQuanYi Micro Hei&quot;, &quot;Heiti SC&quot;, STHeiti, &quot;Microsoft Yahei&quot;, SimSun, sans-serif; font-size: 17.6px; background-color: #fff1e5;">译者/申凯</p>&nbsp;</div>