<div id="feature_img_wrapper" style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px 0px 20px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: "Noto Sans TC", "Open Sans", Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; color: #3b3b3b; letter-spacing: 0.7px; background-color: #f5f5f5;"><div id="feature_img_container" style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px 0px 5px; padding: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; position: relative;"><img id="feature_img" alt="「『打回原形』的中國，不但經濟奇跡不復存在，勢將陷入經濟危機甚至面臨經濟崩潰的局面。」（示意圖，取自Shutterstock，數位時代提供）" src="http://image.cache.storm.mg/styles/smg-800×533-fp/s3/media/image/2018/04/16/20180416-103534_U12094_M401900_2f70.PNG?itok=a_tACd5m" style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: middle; width: 820px; height: auto;" /></div><div> <em style="color: #999999; font-family: inherit; font-size: 16px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.7px;">「『打回原形』的中國，不但經濟奇跡不復存在，勢將陷入經濟危機甚至面臨經濟崩潰的局面。」（示意圖，取自Shutterstock，數位時代提供）</em></div></div><div id="article_inner_wrapper" style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px 0px 20px; padding: 5px 30px 20px; border: 0px; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: "Noto Sans TC", "Open Sans", Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff; color: #3b3b3b; letter-spacing: 0.7px;"><article style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"><div id="CMS_wrapper" font="size_0" style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; overflow: hidden; max-width: 700px;"><p aid="61" style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; padding: 15px 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.6em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; overflow: hidden;">4月23日收到一份傅莉的生日賀卡，來自一對老人：余英時教授、陳淑平女士伉儷，賀卡乃余先生親書，年年如此，已經二十幾年。跟賀卡一道寄來的，還有一件新年賀卡，赫然見余先生手書「戊戌春回」四個大字，我心頭飄起一股春風，描述此刻天下大勢，除了這個四個字，你還找得到更恰如其分的嗎？</p><div style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; display: table;"><div style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; position: relative;"><img src="/EditBackyard/EditorData/Photo/2018/May/542018WUXU.jpg" width="800" height="670" alt="" /></div><div style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; display: table-caption; caption-side: bottom;"><div style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 10px 0px 20px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.5; font-family: inherit; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; color: #999999;"><em>余英時先生手書「戊戌春回」的新年賀卡。（作者提供）</em></div></div></div><p aid="62" style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; padding: 15px 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.6em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; overflow: hidden;"><br /></p><div style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; float: left;"></div><span style="font-style: inherit;">其實今年全球都失去了春天，寒意料峭，冷風冷雨。三月裡曾有暴風雪襲擊北美新英格蘭地區，聽說新澤西特別厲害。一日嚴家琪來電話：「好幾個朋友都說，他們給余教授家裡打電話，幾天都打不通，曉康，你要問一問啊！」須臾耶魯康正果告訴我，余府的電話線被刮斷了，一直未能修復。這件事，也是這場倒春寒給我留下的一個寒意。</span><p style="font-style: inherit;"></p><p aid="63" style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; padding: 15px 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.6em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; overflow: hidden;">今年是戊戌年，中文語境裡自然躲不開百年前的「戊戌維新」，雖然這個歷史記憶並不令人愉快，尤其三十年前的那個春天裡，戊戌人物絕大多數都在北京城的現實裡，找到了他們的當代替身。更加荒誕的是，有個「小學文化程度」的大國統治者，大喇喇的最近竟模仿起袁世凱來。</p><div style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; display: table;"><div style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; position: relative;"><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://image.cache.storm.mg/styles/smg-800xauto-er/s3/media/image/2018/03/20/20180320-104423_U6942_M393057_368d.jpg?itok=ZUBAjyRG" width="800" height="533" alt="2018-03-20-中國兩會，人大舉行閉幕典禮，國家主席習近平表談話02。（美聯社）" title="2018-03-20-中國兩會，人大舉行閉幕典禮，國家主席習近平表談話02。（美聯社）" style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: middle; max-width: 100%; height: auto;" /></div><div style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; display: table-caption; caption-side: bottom;"><div style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 10px 0px 20px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.5; font-family: inherit; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; color: #999999;"><em>「更加荒誕的是，有個『小學文化程度』的大國統治者，大喇喇的最近竟模仿起袁世凱來。」（美聯社）</em></div></div></div><p aid="64" style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; padding: 15px 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.6em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; overflow: hidden;">這不是「政治倒春寒」嗎？全世界都有點乾瞪眼沒轍。未幾，號稱上億用戶的「內涵段子」被封，不問政治的九〇後、〇〇後也開始了弱弱的「政治抗議」。終於要「人間四月天」了，忽然驚雷炸起，中美貿易戰開打，天下沒人覺得那是政治，因為美國總統是個商人。直到美國商務部宣佈停止向中國的中興公司供應晶片，中國上下才一片哀嚎。</p><p aid="65" style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; padding: 15px 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.6em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; overflow: hidden;"></p><div style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; float: left;"></div><span style="font-style: inherit;">如果微軟、蘋果和谷歌三大作業系統同時向中國關閉，有人如此描繪：1、中國所有的大飛機當即落下；2、中國所有銀行重新使用算盤；3、所有商場的收銀台電腦徹底死機；4、醫院重新回到望聞問切時代；5、學校回到粉筆時代；6、電視信號消失電視臺關閉；7、所有通訊重新回到騎自行車傳遞信件時代。</span><p style="font-style: inherit;"></p><p aid="66" style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; padding: 15px 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.6em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; overflow: hidden;">川普打到了這個極權制度的三寸，是籌畫已久的一個殺手鐧呢，還是意外命中？我們不得而知；但是中共三十年奇跡、積累龐大資源和國力提升極權制度，靠的是盜竊西方技術而僥倖成功，則是毫無疑問的。這三十年它能造太空船、太空梭、長城防火牆、人臉識別系統，卻造不出一個小小的晶片，便是全部問題的實質：由於這個龐大系統過於功利的統治哲學，而形同築於沙灘之上，除了技術之外，其他都是虛假的，它的強大只是因為人民的恐懼而已。</p><div style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; display: table;"><div style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; position: relative;"><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://image.cache.storm.mg/styles/smg-800xauto-er/s3/media/image/2018/04/20/20180420-041956_U1085_M403840_0628.jpg?itok=T4G26Zhp" width="800" height="508" alt="中興。（美聯社）" title="中興。（美聯社）" style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: middle; max-width: 100%; height: auto;" /></div><div style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline; display: table-caption; caption-side: bottom;"><div style="box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; margin: 0px; padding: 10px 0px 20px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.5; font-family: inherit; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; color: #999999;"><em>「中共三十年奇跡、積累龐大資源和國力提升極權制度，靠的是盜竊西方技術而僥倖成功，則是毫無疑問的。這三十年它能造太空船、太空梭、長城防火牆、人臉識別系統，卻造不出一個小小的晶片，便是全部問題的實質⋯⋯」圖為中國中興科技公司。（資料照，美聯社）</em></div></div></div><p aid="67" style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; padding: 15px 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.6em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; overflow: hidden;">法廣網的評述說，中國建立在貿易順差上的「大國崛起」，也將隨著美中貿易戰開打，要求中國回到公平、對等、互惠的國際貿易準則，消除貿易逆差，而被打回原形。「打回原形」的中國，不但經濟奇跡不復存在，勢將陷入經濟危機甚至面臨經濟崩潰的局面。</p><p aid="68" style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; padding: 15px 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.6em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; overflow: hidden;">人們還提到兩條：如果網路長城崩潰了，如果超過國防經費的維穩費枯竭了，僅僅這兩條，這個政權還撐得下去嗎？</p><p aid="69" style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; padding: 15px 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.6em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; overflow: hidden;">戊戌年真是不一樣呀，</p><p aid="70" style="font-style: inherit; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; padding: 15px 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.6em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 20px; vertical-align: baseline; overflow: hidden;">「戊戌春回」真乃神來之筆！</p></div></article></div>