美国还会给中国机会吗？ – 纵览中国-China In Perspective

<h2> </h2><div id="js_content" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; overflow: hidden; color: #333333; font-size: 18px; word-wrap: break-word; min-height: 350px; position: relative;"><p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"> <img data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/OaDmRg9iaqibmsUZcG8EiawdZpPQzas4AwbYiamDDEZzE4tAdw6B7S6VZ30ic0xWbOIIAjYc8O8dWicDzF4Dic7qTbS7Q/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/OaDmRg9iaqibmsUZcG8EiawdZpPQzas4AwbYiamDDEZzE4tAdw6B7S6VZ30ic0xWbOIIAjYc8O8dWicDzF4Dic7qTbS7Q/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&tp=webp&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1" data-fail="0" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; height: auto !important; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; visibility: visible !important; width: auto !important;" alt="" /> <span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">墨菲定律说:怕什么，就会来什么。 <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">美国总统如果不是特朗普而是希拉里，中美间的贸易战还是会打，只不过换个方式，以TPP的形式出现，就是美国和其盟国不带你中国玩了。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">特朗普虽然是商人出身，但终归是个男人，权衡利弊方面还是会比女人理性得多。记得特朗普和希拉里角逐总统时，有记者采访龙永图，问他希望谁当选，龙说他还是愿意特朗普当选。毕竟和男人沟通比和女人沟通会顺畅得多。而普京在希拉里骂他为希特勒后，记者问他如何回应，普大帝只是淡淡地说了一句:不跟女人吵架。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">张爱玲曾认为:国际间的纠纷有时就如老妈子吵架一样，如果换成货真价实的女人，则更是不堪设想。如此说来，特朗普当总统，中国还是幸运的。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">看来美国朝野的共和、民主两党在打击中国经济，限制中国发展上取得了共识，中国是注定要遭此一劫。对于这一点，中国进出口银行原行长李若谷先生，在日前主持中美关系高级研讨会后，明确地表达这种信息。详情阅读链接:<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px; text-decoration-line: underline; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><a href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzU2NTE3MjQ2MQ==&mid=2247518958&idx=2&sn=df042369d37cd8cce641bb3ecbae0de5&chksm=fcbd0b6ccbca827a52529e97ab77ea9a2e343160793eca9244449cf13f25e20a3d8006795b92&scene=21#wechat_redirect" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: #576b95; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">美国对中国的看法已发生根本性变化</a><p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">特朗普的贸易战进行到现在，尤其是对中兴的制裁，一下子把中国人打醒甚至打懵了:原来我们依赖美国的东西这么多，芯片，软件等高科技产品不说，居然还有大豆高粱等农产品，并且无法或很难找到替代。而美国对于我们的出口产品则很容易找到替代品。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">中国要赶上和超过美国，就必须发展高科技，可美国已经对中国2025计划的相关技术进行了限制，并且包括相应的留学人员。中国与美国在科技方面的差距有多大？这次中国人应该是看清楚了:即使美国不制裁中国，中国也很难在几十年内赶上美国，如果美国对中国禁运和限制，中国发展高科技将会难上加难，甚至雪上加霜。问题是中美关系怎么就走到了这一步？我们中国还有机会吗？或者说美国还会给中国机会吗？要知道它的未来，就要了解它的现在和过去。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">中美的和解是从上世纪70年代毛时代开始的，当时的美中都有联合抗苏的需要。中国改开后，邓小平主政，美中关系上了一个新台阶。79年邓小平访美后惩罚当年的小兄弟越南，算是给美国递了一份投名状，取得了美国的信任。中美关系正常化并且进入了蜜月期。美国及其盟国对中国甚至在武器方面都解禁了，美国还准备帮助中国对歼八战斗机进行改进升级。那用了多年的24架美国黑鹰直升机就是那时卖给中国的，08年汶川地震还派上了大用场。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">而中国在意识形态上也有了巨大的松动，一度准备在厂矿企业取消党委，实行所谓厂长负责制。八十年代，中国意识形态的开放程度是改开以来之最，是最朝气蓬勃的年代，科学的春天来了，大家为振兴中华而读书。现在的年轻人听起来可能都很难相信，50、60后的人们回想起来也会如梦幻一般。美国是希望中国改变意识形态，实行民主与法治，重视人权，并给了中国一定的转型缓冲时间。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">改开初期，党内高层就有改革派和保守派，斗争相当尖锐。结果八九年的政治风波使中美的蜜月期戛然而止，中央收紧了对意识形态的控制，加强了党委的力量，或者说中国的改开走了回头路，这是美国及其盟国不愿意看到的，他们失望了。美国及其盟友对中国开始了禁运和制裁，一些高科技产品特别是武器方面到现在还没能解禁。这是美国及其盟国给中国的第一次机会。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">九二年小平南巡，确定了继续改开的方针，但也强调了必须两手抓，两手都要硬。即大力发展经济，但意识形态相比八零年代则更趋于保守，政治体制改革也停滞不前。国际上，苏联解体，美国联中已无必要。而93年的银河号事件，96年的台海事件，和99年的轰炸大使馆事件使中美关系一度非常紧张。国内经济因为朱镕基的抓大放小，减员增效使大批工人下岗，企业倒闭，国民经济一时无法提振，面临崩溃。但在外交上因为坚持了邓小平的韬光养晦政策，逐渐取得了美国及其盟国的谅解，在2001年终于签订了WTO 协定。使中国迅速转型成为了外贸出口型国家，一举解决了大量人口的失业问题。中国变成了世界制造大国，成为了世界工厂，这是美国给的第二次机会。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">中国经济发展了，中国老百姓富裕了，中国政府有钱了。中国人也自我膨胀了。2008年的北京奥运会让国际社会大开眼界，见识了中国这个地球村的新暴发户如何挥金如土。但中国的政治体制依然没有改革，价值观似乎从马克思主义走回到传统的儒家文化，国家强大了，当然要输出自己的价值观，于是，国家掏钱的孔子学院在世界各地应运而生，须知儒家文化强调的是亲亲尊尊，与西方基督教文明的平等博爱自由格格不入，不久就有不少孔子学院被当地国家驱赶撤离。而国内的专家们得意忘形地总结出了一套有别于世界经济发展的所谓中国模式，即利用山寨或市场换技术而来的他国先进技术，由政府出资补贴，工人低工资成本，再操纵汇率，用低价出口冲击国外市场，打垮竞争对手，赚取大量外汇。这对于西方国家的市场经济模式来说当然是毁灭性的打击，西方称之为国家资本主义。这也是美国及其盟国一直不愿意给予中国市场经济地位的原因。当初签定WTO条款时，给了中国15年的幼稚产业保护期，比如我国出口汽车到他国的关税为2.5％，而他国出口到我国汽车的关税是25％，中国很多行业受到此种保护，并且如金融，电信，石化及媒体和一些服务业也在十五年内不对外开放。在这种条件下，15年来，中国的GDP达到了仅次于美国的世界第二位。外汇存底也达到了四万亿美元。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">可着锦衣岂可夜行？于是中国开始了撒币行动，委内瑞拉，巴基斯坦，还有俄罗斯，乌克兰，以及上合组织国家，还有非洲的穷兄弟们都来吧，并强调我们的援助不附带任何政治条件。美其名曰给他国实实在在的好处，却忘了自己老祖宗“授人以鱼不如授人以渔”的道理。连奥巴马都嫉妒我国领导人凡事能一人决断，而他还必须征得国会的认可。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">美国强烈地感到中国利用其强大的经济实力企图甚至正在改变国际的经济秩序和政治秩序。而其本钱正是中国搭乘美国经济的顺风车而获得的，中美每年有三千亿以上美元的贸易顺差。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">“太平洋那么大，一定能容纳中美两个大国”，中国对美发出了挑战。海湖庄园习特会谈未能达成共识，美国是无法容忍一个挑战他超级大国地位的正在崛起的中国，更何况两国的价值观完全不同。2016年到来了，中国得兑现当年签署的开放承诺条款了，但中国的确是不能也不敢全面开放，因为如果开放，中国的国企央企及很多行业都会被外资冲垮，甚至会危机到体制。而中国模式的政府干预经济，美国及其盟国是绝对不可能给予中国市场经济地位的。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">中国高层知道中国的经济发展是依靠外贸出口而取得的，是大批农民工的血汗和对环境的污染破坏换来的，也是不可持续的。腾笼换鸟，转型升级，顶层早意识到了这一点。随着国内投资环境的恶化，外资大量撤出了中国，内资也去国外找出路。大量失业问题，天量债务问题，汇率问题，M 2流动性问题，房地产问题，人口老化问题，环境污染问题，台海问题，朝鲜问题等等几乎同时显现爆发，可转型还未成功，乐观估计，至少得到2025年。而偏偏这个时候，特朗普开始了贸易战。只一招对于中兴的芯片软件禁运，中兴就休克了，如果持续七年，中兴就只能破产倒闭。现在只是针对中兴一家公司，如果全面禁运制裁呢？<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">美国这次对中国是从未有过的严厉，要求每年缩减2000亿美元的贸易顺差，这将使中国的外汇存底迅速减少，中国再在国际上撒币的资本就几乎快没了，到时酒肉朋友可能一哄而散。而美国还要求中国必须大量购买美国的能源，这又会是让中国与俄罗斯、伊朗等国的能源交易大幅减少，还会打击人民币国际化，当然也打击了俄罗斯和伊朗的经济。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">美国的301条款会严格执行，并对中国2025制造业升级计划的相关技术禁运。而且居然还对涉及这些技术的留学生也在签证上设限，这真是釜底抽薪。美国这次是铁了心要阻止中国发展了。中国失去了美国及其盟国给的第二次机会。<p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;"> <p style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 21.6px; letter-spacing: 1px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px;">中国的俗语有事不过三之说。就是说可以给你一次、二次机会，如果你不珍惜，那就没有第三次了。西方社会也是如此，给了你中国两次机会，你不仅无法按要求和承诺改革转型，反而还要挑战西方的价值观和美国的超级大国地位，美国当然无法容忍，换了其他任何国家，包括中国自己也不会容忍。所以美国可能真的不会给中国第三次机会了，除非中国进行全面的政治体制改革。<div><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; text-size-adjust: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); line-height: 24px; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"> </div></div>