<p style="padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px; font-size: 19px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; background-color: #ffffff;">特朗普与金正恩将在本周二举行一场历史性的峰会，这给陷入困境的朝鲜半岛带来了希望。从朝鲜核问题到朝美多年敌对关系的正常化，这些都是本次会晤上双方面临的问题。</p><div style="margin: 0px; padding: 7px 20px 10px 0px; float: none; width: 700px; clear: both; font-family: "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: medium; background-color: #ffffff;"><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" link="/overlay/image/article/44154571/44146067" rel="nofollow" style="color: #0087eb; text-decoration-line: none; cursor: pointer;"><img itemprop="image" src="http://www.dw.com/image/44146067_303.jpg" title="Polizei vor den Toren der Istana in Singapur (Reuters/A. Perawongmetha)" alt="Polizei vor den Toren der Istana in Singapur (Reuters/A. Perawongmetha)" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; width: 700px; height: auto;" /></a><p style="padding: 4px 0px; color: #888888; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; width: 720px;">历史性时刻之前</p></div><div style="margin-bottom: 30px; font-family: "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: medium; background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; color: #3e3e3e; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei";"><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;">（德国之声中文网）特朗普曾称，此次会面是金正恩"唯一的机会"（one time shot），华盛顿要求朝鲜进行"全面的、可查证且不可逆转的无核化(CVID)"。用特朗普的话说："他们必须去核，如果他们不去核，是不可接受的。" </p><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;">朝鲜一再表示致力于"朝鲜半岛无核化"，但这一表达双方都有所解释，目前仍不清楚金正恩准备做出何种让步。韩国方面估计，朝鲜有50公斤钚，据信，这足够制造大约10枚核弹，并且，朝鲜已有相当能力，利用浓缩铀生产核武器。 </p><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;">有专家警告，金正恩非常可能不会放弃核武器这把"威慑宝剑"。并指出，拆除几十年来建立起来的秘密核设施将需要几年的时间，检查难度也高。美国斯坦福大学的核科学家海克尔（Siegfried Hecker）表示， "难以想象的" 朝鲜会马上进行CVID，这"等同于让朝鲜投降。"</p><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;">理论上，以三八线为界的朝韩两国仍处于战争状态，因为两国在1950年到1953年的战争结束后并没有签署和平协议。金正恩和韩国总统文在寅在4月份举行峰会，表示愿意致力寻求和平条约，特朗普本月早些时候表示："你能相信，我们在谈论结束朝鲜战争吗？"</p><div style="margin: 0px; padding: 7px 20px 10px 0px; float: none; width: 700px; clear: both;"><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" link="/overlay/image/article/44154571/44150127" rel="nofollow" style="color: #0087eb; text-decoration-line: none; cursor: pointer;"><img width="700" height="394" src="http://www.dw.com/image/44150127_401.jpg" alt="Singapur: Donald Trump an der Paya Lebar Air Base (picture-alliance/AP Photo/E. Vucci)" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; width: 700px; height: auto;" /></a></div><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;">另外一个问题是，特朗普是否会在本次会面提到人权问题 ，朝鲜被指存在包括法外处决，酷刑和绑架在内的一系列侵权行为。 </p><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;">朝鲜劳改营关押了可能高达12万名的政治犯。美国盟友日本敦促特朗普向对方提出一个几十年的老问题：70年代和80年代，为训练会说日语的间谍，朝鲜绑架了一些日本公民。</p><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;">人权观察亚洲区主任布莱德・亚当斯（Brad Adams）说，特朗普必须谈及人权："朝鲜加强与其他国家的对话是积极的一步，但国际上过于情绪激动之前不要忘记，朝鲜仍在实行世界上最具压制性的制度。"</p><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;">金正恩主要关心的是自己政权的存亡，韩国总统文在寅在接受记者采访时表示，这名平壤领导人担心"如果朝鲜无核化，他是否可以相信美国提出的结束敌对政策，并保证其政权安全的承诺。 " </p><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;">美国国安顾问鹰派波顿 (John Bolton)差点让美朝峰会告吹，他要求朝鲜遵循"利比亚模式"去核。利比亚领导人卡扎菲在放弃核计划后，在西方支持的军事叛乱中被杀。 </p><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;">特朗普政府承诺不会设法改变朝鲜政权，美国国务卿蓬佩奥甚至已经向朝鲜提供了安全担保。但有专家提出质疑，鉴于特朗普之前撕毁协议的做法，为什么金正恩应该信任特朗普？就在不久前，这名美国总统撤出了经过艰苦谈判达成的伊朗核协议。曾经在奥巴马时代担任过美国国家安全事务助理安东尼•布林肯(Antony Blinken)就表示："当其他各方遵守一份协议时，特朗普却撕毁了它，为什么金正恩会相信特朗普做出的任何承诺?"</p><div style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei";"><div style="width: 720px; float: left;"><div data-id="43922923" data-title="一波三折！特金会“死而复生”" data-date="20180605" data-firstcategory="19990022" style="float: left; width: 700px; height: auto; margin: 0px 0px 30px; background-color: #000000; position: static !important;"><ul style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px; list-style: none inside; overflow: hidden; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-size: 15px; line-height: 22px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; position: relative; width: 700px; height: 561.42px;"><li style="background-image: url("../cssi/list-blip.png"); background-position: 1px 10px; background-size: initial; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; opacity: 1; min-height: 544px; display: block; top: 0px; left: 0px; z-index: 12;"><div style="float: left; position: relative; width: 700px; height: 394px; overflow: hidden; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; background-color: #111111; clear: both; top: 0px; left: 0px; z-index: 10; cursor: pointer;"><img itemprop="image" src="http://www.dw.com/image/42899575_303.jpg" title="USA Chung Eui Yong Ankündigung zu Nordkorea im Weißen Haus (Getty Images/AFP/M. Ngan)" alt="USA Chung Eui Yong Ankündigung zu Nordkorea im Weißen Haus (Getty Images/AFP/M. Ngan)" style="width: 700px;" /></div><div style="position: relative; left: 0px; bottom: 0px; z-index: 11; width: 700px; margin: 0px; padding: 15px; box-sizing: border-box; float: left; height: auto; min-height: 150px;"><div></div><h4>一波三折！特金会“死而复生”</h4><h2>特使报佳音</h2><p style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; color: #bbbbbb; font-size: 16px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; width: auto;">3月8日：韩国总统特使兼青瓦台国家安保室长郑义溶，在华盛顿会晤特朗普后宣布，金正恩将与特朗普会面。“我告诉特朗普，金正恩表示承诺克制进一步核武或导弹测试，并理解美韩须持续例行军演。他期盼尽早与特朗普会面，特朗普表示感谢，称将于5月之前举行会晤。”</p></div></li></ul><br /><div style="background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; height: 40px;"><div style="position: relative; z-index: 100; left: 6px; bottom: 0px; width: 678.991px; overflow: hidden;"><div style="float: right;"><a rel="nofollow" style="color: #888888; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; 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-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">1</a><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" id="p1" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">2</a><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" id="p2" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">3</a><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" id="p3" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">4</a><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" id="p4" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">5</a><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" id="p5" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">6</a><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" id="p6" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">7</a><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" id="p7" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">8</a><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" id="p8" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">9</a><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" id="p9" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">10</a><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" id="p10" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">11</a><a href="http://www.dw.com/zh/%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E7%89%B9%E9%87%91%E4%BC%9A%E9%83%BD%E4%BC%9A%E8%B0%88%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88/a-44154571?&zhongwen=simp#" id="p11" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 4px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei", sans-serif;">12</a></span></div></div></div></div></div><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;"> </p><p style="font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: "MS Song", "MS Hei"; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;"><br /></p></div></div>