<p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 28px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">联合国秘书长曾警告说，冷战“以猛烈的方式重来”，因为现在已经没有了冷战时期的升级管控机制。最近英国国防智库警告，一旦战争爆发英军和盟军会被俄军击溃，引发大量关于北约和俄罗斯对抗的报道。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">周三（11月27日）英国智库皇家联合三军研究所（RUSI）发表报告说，准备不足的英军如果在东欧同俄罗斯军队作战将会一败涂地。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">周四俄罗斯驻伦敦大使馆表示，英国智库的报告是渲染俄罗斯威胁的空洞言辞，并且批评了许多媒体报道渲染了俄罗斯和英国武装冲突的可能性。</p><ul style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: none; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"> <li style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: square; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 4px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><a style="border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);" href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-50518296">美国务卿要北约对抗来自中国共产党的威胁</a></li> <li style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: square; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 4px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><a style="border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);" href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/world-45879811">冷战2.0：西方与中俄情报对抗白热化</a></li> <li style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: square; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 4px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><a style="border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);" href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/world-50574528">华为争议让德国左右为难 美国加强对德国施压</a></li> </ul><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">俄罗斯使馆发言人说，他们认为联合三军研究所题目为“未来的火力：最大限度提高英国的战术和战斗火力”的报告不过是军事精英为英国增加军费制造借口。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">英国国防部8月的数字显示，英国军队规模已经连续9年一直下降。英国议会下院的改革开支委员会说，国防部在今后10年武器装备开支中至少有70亿英镑的空缺。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">据认为，评估英军的弱点的报告在英国大选前公布旨在给政界人士施加压力，要求他们兑现关于扩充军队和改善武器装备的承诺。</p><figure style="background-color: #111111; border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clear: both; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: -4.16%; margin-top: 24px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: baseline;"> <img width="976" height="549" style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #bdbdbd; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: auto; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; max-width: 100%; -ms-user-select: none; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; transition-delay: 0s; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: opacity; transition-timing-function: ease-in; vertical-align: baseline; width: 100%;" alt="俄罗斯阅兵" src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/140D6/production/_109943128_e7b95eb6-0033-4886-b887-3eb894be0141.jpg" data-highest-encountered-width="624" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/140D6/production/_109943128_e7b95eb6-0033-4886-b887-3eb894be0141.jpg" /> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: 1px; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: absolute; vertical-align: baseline; width: 1px;">图片版权</span> <span style="background-attachment: scroll; background-clip: border-box; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); background-image: none; background-origin: padding-box; background-position-x: 0%; background-position-y: 0%; background-repeat: repeat; background-size: auto; border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; bottom: 0px; color: #ececec; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.87rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.1428; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 1px; padding-left: 8px; padding-right: 8px; padding-top: 3px; position: absolute; right: 0px; text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: baseline;">Getty Images</span> </span> <figcaption style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 16px; padding-left: 16px; padding-right: 16px; padding-top: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;"> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: 1px; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: absolute; vertical-align: baseline; width: 1px;">Image caption</span> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #ececec; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.3333; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> 2014年俄罗斯兼并克里米亚成为北约安全的一个潜在的转折点，俄罗斯被看作对欧洲的威胁 </span> </figcaption> </figure><h2>火力不够“集束炸弹”补？</h2><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">俄军的火力全面超过英国地面部队，英国“在火力和射程方面全面落后”，俄军可以随心所欲地用大炮打击英军。</p><ul style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: none; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"> <li style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: square; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 4px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><a style="border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);" href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/world-47991147">冷战教训：丘吉尔的“淘气文件”和斯大林的恐惧</a></li> <li style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: square; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 4px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><a style="border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);" href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-48691923">中美贸易战：美国智库舆论出现“反战”声音</a></li> <li style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: square; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 4px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><a style="border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);" href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-47818480">世界最大的军事集团成立70年后聚焦新对手</a></li> </ul><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">据《每日电讯报》报道，报告建议英军需要考虑使用有争议的“集束炸弹”。虽然2008年在奥斯陆一百多个国家签署了禁用集束炸弹国际协定，但如果需要在火力上同俄军竞争，英国就需要重新考虑对该条约的义务。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">不过英国国防部发言人说，联合三军研究所的报告比较片面，英国一对一地同俄罗斯发生战争的可能性微乎其微。英国和北约盟国密切合作，“装备良好，能胜任主要的任务”。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">英国国防部还表示，英国是北约欧洲盟国当中防务开支最多的国家，英军装备精良，可以在应对威胁，保卫英国和国外安全方面发挥主要作用。</p><h2>2014：改变对俄战略</h2><figure style="background-color: #111111; border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clear: both; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: -4.16%; margin-top: 24px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: baseline;"> <img width="976" height="549" style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #bdbdbd; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: auto; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; max-width: 100%; -ms-user-select: none; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; transition-delay: 0s; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: opacity; transition-timing-function: ease-in; vertical-align: baseline; width: 100%;" alt="英军坦克" src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/F2B6/production/_109943126_a5667538-8e7d-4f73-89aa-6a0324f35ab4.jpg" data-highest-encountered-width="624" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/F2B6/production/_109943126_a5667538-8e7d-4f73-89aa-6a0324f35ab4.jpg" /> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: 1px; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: absolute; vertical-align: baseline; width: 1px;">图片版权</span> <span style="background-attachment: scroll; background-clip: border-box; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6); background-image: none; background-origin: padding-box; background-position-x: 0%; background-position-y: 0%; background-repeat: repeat; background-size: auto; border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; bottom: 0px; color: #ececec; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.87rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: 0.25px; line-height: 1.1428; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 1px; padding-left: 8px; padding-right: 8px; padding-top: 3px; position: absolute; right: 0px; text-transform: uppercase; vertical-align: baseline;">MOD</span> </span> <figcaption style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 16px; padding-left: 16px; padding-right: 16px; padding-top: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;"> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: 1px; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; position: absolute; vertical-align: baseline; width: 1px;">Image caption</span> <span style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #ececec; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.3333; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> 2017年英军被从德国调往爱沙尼亚，目前在那里有800名英军驻扎。 </span> </figcaption> </figure><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">虽然报道都承认英国同俄罗斯在东欧发生的高烈度冲突的可能性极低，但从2017年开始英国派兵去爱沙尼亚驻扎，目前在那里有800名英军驻扎。</p><ul style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 100%; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: none; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"> <li style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: square; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 4px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><a style="border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);" href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/world-49165456">中美俄新大三角战略：西方警惕俄国打中国牌</a></li> <li style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; 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border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);" href="http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/39944419">一带一路：营造西方没落后的新格局？</a></li> <li style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; list-style-image: none; list-style-position: outside; list-style-type: square; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 4px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><a style="border-bottom-color: #dcdcdc; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3);" href="http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-41013152"> 再谈修昔底德陷阱：中美较量 必有一战？</a></li> </ul><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">英国媒体报道提到未来在英国及其北约盟国在东线和俄军作战的假设，并说英军和盟军由于火力不足会遭遇惨败，也引起俄罗斯媒体质疑。英国是北约成员国，讨论英军对俄军作战会令人联想到北约可能有向东的作战计划。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">北约文件显示，2014年俄罗斯兼并克里米亚成为北约安全的一个潜在的转折点，许多西方关于和政界人士认为俄罗斯兼并克里米亚改变了欧洲安全格局，北约应该对新形势作出反应。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">2014年北约除了强调2%的防务预算目标，还决定扩大北约反应部队(NRF)的职能，建立了针对东线的快速部署联合作战部队(VJTF)。两年后北约又决定在波罗的海国家和波兰部署3个营，30个战斗机中队，以及30艘可调遣的军舰。</p><h2>新冷战重来“更猛烈”</h2><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">北约自认为是维护世界稳定的支柱。西方国家认为，北约扩大有利于欧洲稳定，而莫斯科则认为北约扩大破坏了欧洲安全，而且是孤立俄罗斯的手段。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">美国的学者和评论员说，在美国的国家安全决策圈越来越多人在讨论大国角力和新冷战，特别是涉及俄罗斯和中国的对抗言论。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">布鲁金斯学会的高级研究员奥汉隆（Michael E. O'Hanlon）认为，虽然北约需要加强军事现代化努力，加强在波罗的海国家和波兰部署，但是要避免那种时刻准备同克里姆林宫对抗的思维状态。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">联合国秘书长古特雷斯曾在谈到中东紧张局势升级时警告说，冷战“以猛烈的方式重来”，因为在冷战时期尚有防止风险升级的管控机制，但现在没有这种保险机制。他说如果多边主义失败，世界将有坠入混乱状态和新冷战。他呼吁欧盟发挥主要作用，努力保留建立在规则基础上的国际秩序。</p><p style="border-bottom-color: currentColor; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-image-outset: 0; border-image-repeat: stretch; border-image-slice: 100%; border-image-source: none; border-image-width: 1; border-left-color: currentColor; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-color: currentColor; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-top-color: currentColor; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; color: #404040; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 18px; orphans: 2; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">古特雷斯最近接受媒体采访时还说，美国和中国的技术争夺造成的分裂和负面影响超过了冷战。他说下一场世界冲突将在网络空间开始。</p><strong></strong><em></em><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike><strong></strong><em></em><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike>