<div><img src="/EditBackyard/EditorData/Photo/2020/Jan/110202010-4.jpg" width="660" height="371" alt="" style="font-size: 12pt;" /> </div><div><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 28px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">台湾大选前夕，在美国纽约从事科技业的叶先生选择11日抵达台湾投票，隔天又要马上返美。作为成千上万返乡投票的海外选民中的一个，究竟是什么原因促使他们不惜代价，一定要投下手中一票？</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">叶先生在自己脸书页面上的留言或许说明了其中一个重要原因：“飞行时间：30小时。民主自由：无价。”</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">简单几个字，道出了许多不远万里也要回家投票台湾人的危机感：每届选举都像是“最后的选举”。不少人表示，民主一旦被完全侵蚀，可能就不再有回头的余地。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">台湾未设“不在籍投票”，意味着海外公民无法在当地使领馆或邮寄方式投票，必须回到原籍地；而本届大选海外台湾人返台投票的热情，远高于往届。</span></p><h2><span style="font-size: 12pt;">香港抗议与资讯战影响</span></h2><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">BBC采访多位旅美台湾年轻人，他们在谈到这届大选的特殊性时，不约而同反复提到两个词：香港与资讯战。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">据台湾侨务委员会公布的数据，2020年大选中登记返台投票人数为5328人，比2016年大选多一倍以上。而且，由于大量旅外台湾人依然保有台湾户籍，返台投票无需登记，真正从海外返台的选民远超出以上数字。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">政策研究员杨光舜在美国生活5年，往年从未回台投票，但今年感受到了非投票不可的危机感。“我感觉现在的选举不太一样了。”</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">“以往民主是我们习以为常的事情，但看到香港，发现原来并不是。” 杨光舜对BBC说，香港“反送中”的抗议激起许多台湾人对于“今日香港就是明日台湾”的担忧。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">据悉，近年来北京方面益发高调强势地表示要“统一”台湾的决心，对于无法接受被中共政权统一的台湾人来说，威权的阴影越走越近。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">习近平在2019年明确表示“祖国必须统一，也必然统一”，首次提出“台湾方案”。他说，和平统一、一国两制是统一的最佳方式，但并不承诺放弃武力。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">蔡英文则回应称，绝不接受一国两制。她在选举前夕表示，香港已经证实一国两制的失败，民主和维权无法同时存在。“一定要用选票告诉世界，台湾不接受一国两制。”</span></p><img src="/EditBackyard/EditorData/Photo/2020/Jan/110202010-4-1.jpg" width="624" height="351" alt="" /> </div><div><h2><span style="font-size: 12pt;">“芒果干”背后的集体焦虑</span></h2><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">与“亡国感”发音相近的“芒果干”成为本届台湾大选的关键词，背后是民众对台湾“被统一”的集体忧虑。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">“芒果干是戏谑的说法，但这不是开玩笑的事情，”叶先生认为，北京通过散布虚假、充满党派偏见的资讯来干预台湾大选或制造舆论分裂，是一个近在眼前的危机。</span></p><div style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: inherit; margin: 12px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div role="region" aria-label="Facebook 用户名 BBC 中文網（繁體）" style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: inline-block; position: relative;"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/world-51057051#jump-linkhttps://www.facebook.com/bbcnewstrad/posts/3145042352179080/" style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; text-decoration-line: none; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); overflow: hidden; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3); border: 0px !important; padding: 0px !important; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">跳过 Facebook 帖子 用户名 BBC 中文網（繁體）</span></a><div data-href="https://www.facebook.com/bbcnewstrad/posts/3145042352179080/" data-width="552" style="border: 1px solid #dfe0e4; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: auto; padding: 0px 10px 10px; vertical-align: baseline; border-radius: 3px; max-width: 528px;"></div><p id="jump-linkhttps://www.facebook.com/bbcnewstrad/posts/3145042352179080/" tabindex="-1" style="font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); overflow: hidden; border: 0px !important; padding: 0px !important; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">结尾 Facebook 帖子 用户名 BBC 中文網（繁體）</span></p></div></div></div></div><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">不久前，自称是中国情报人员的王立强在澳大利亚寻求庇护，他指中国正企图收买台湾的媒体集团，并在社交媒体上散播虚假资讯来帮助亲北京的候选人。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">王的很多说法尚未被证实，但一些迹象表明，北京正利用现代科技与媒体升级其宣传机器。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">去年，推特和脸书移除了数百个他们认为由中国政府掌控、散播香港示威虚假信息的账号。台湾人常用的通讯软件Line也成为假资讯传播的温床。美国《外交政策》杂志的一篇文章指，大陆网军疑似介入高雄市长选举，帮助韩国瑜迅速崛起。路透社也有报道指出，国台办付费给至少五家台湾媒体作新闻置入，引发台媒自我审查的忧虑。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">在资讯战的疑云下，杨光舜看到了假资讯误导大量民众的危险后果，下定决心以回家投票的行动捍卫民主权利。 “一个人的票造成的改变不大，但要是每个人都这样想就很危险。”</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">蔡英文的竞选广告呼吁选民用手上的一票“守护这得来不易的自由民主”。</span></p><h2><span style="font-size: 12pt;">“中华民国到了生死存亡的关头”</span></h2><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">国民党支持者对“芒果干”有不同定义，他们批评民进党操弄恐惧感、有意放弃“中华民国”、伤害台湾长远经济发展。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">国民党也在推特上喊话，“千万别浪费选票”，要集中选票力挺韩国瑜，不让2000年大选中蓝营因分裂而战败的一幕再次上演。</span></p><img src="/EditBackyard/EditorData/Photo/2020/Jan/110202010-4-2.png" width="465" height="646" alt="" /> </div><div><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">对于许多年纪较长、来自军工教背景的侨胞来说，韩国瑜是他们心中总统的不二人选。韩原本规划11月前往美国访问，但其后取消了行程，由妻子李佳芬代为赴美，争取海外选票。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">李佳芬在华盛顿的造势活动，被当地侨领称为“30年来场面最热烈的与台湾有关的活动”，数百名侨胞齐声高喊“佳芬姐加油”、“韩国瑜冻蒜”。韩对传统意义上政治取向偏蓝的侨胞的吸引力可见一斑。</span></p><img src="/EditBackyard/EditorData/Photo/2020/Jan/110202010-4-3.jpg" width="624" height="351" alt="" /> </div><div><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">在台湾选举中，主要党派的总统候选人通常都会强调维持两岸现状。无论是对于国民党还是民主党的支持者来说，这一次，现状似乎尤其脆弱危急。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">李佳芬在华盛顿活动发言时感叹，中华民国在许多台湾年轻人心中成了说不出口的敏感词。她说，“中华民国到了生死存亡的关头”、“中华民国四个字如此岌岌可危”。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">“台湾”、“中华民国”，抑或蔡英文近期的提法“中华民国台湾”，名称争议背后是台湾人复杂的身份认同与代际演变。在海外台湾人中，这一现象也展现无遗。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">生活在华府地区的台美人王福权，日前在美国《国家利益》杂志上投稿指，蔡英文政府的两岸政策以台湾的经济未来作为牺牲品，只有蔡英文下台，两岸交流才能和解信任、共同发展。王福权是台美关系研究中心董事，该智库被认为立场亲国民党。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">而多位旅居海外的台湾年轻人告诉BBC，他们对韩当选后能否维持两岸现状、捍卫台湾的民主并不具信心，防止韩国瑜当选成为他们回家投票的重要动机之一。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">正在美国休斯顿念博士的台湾人廖育嶒担心，热衷使用煽动性语言的韩国瑜一旦当选，不仅无法团结台湾民众，还会创造更多世代割裂。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">叶先生则不讳言，他返台投票不是为了确保蔡英文当选，而是希望韩国瑜大败，他寄望这能止住国民党越发倾向北京的态势。</span></p><p style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 1rem; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">“主权是最重要的价值，” 他说。</span></p> </div>