<div></div><div><h1><a href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-53261712#" tabindex="-1" style="font-family: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; font-size: 0px; white-space: nowrap; background-color: #ffffff; border: 0px; color: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; text-decoration-line: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3); height: 44px; fill: #d52a2c; display: inline !important;"><span style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); overflow: hidden; border: 0px !important; padding: 0px !important; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;"><br />分享平台 微博</span></a></h1><div style="border: 0px; color: #404040; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; 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margin-top: 28px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><img src="/EditBackyard/EditorData/Photo/2020/Jul/7102020HKL.jpg" width="660" height="371" alt="" /> </p><div> 四年一次的香港立法会选举将于9 月 6 日举行，官方提名将于7月18日开始。多年来处于下风的民主派7 月 11 日到 12 日举行初选，目前已确定52个候选人。 <span style="color: #ececec; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, STHeiti, 华文黑体, "Microsoft YaHei", 微软雅黑, SimSun, 宋体, "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: 0.25px; text-transform: uppercase; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6);">GETTY IMAGES</span></div><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">民主派在去年区议会中史无前例取得大胜，令他们看到契机，认为或有机会反转立法会议席比例。为了突围，民主派提出“35+公民投票计划”，以期夺取立法会的控制权。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">然而香港《国安法》出台后，民主派面临相当大的不确定性。候选人即便当选，也可能因不支持《国安法》而被取消资格。如果触犯该法，甚至如香港律政司司长郑若骅所说，“可理解为终身丧失（参选资格）”。</p><figure style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px -24.6406px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #111111;"><div style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 346.609px; vertical-align: baseline; height: 0px; position: relative;"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/images/ic/720×405/p08fbnkk.jpg" style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px -25.6719px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; height: auto; max-width: 100%; user-select: none; width: 616.203px; display: block; position: absolute;" alt="" /><div style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 346.609px; vertical-align: baseline; height: 0px; position: relative;"><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div id="sticky-player-1" style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; 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color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px 0px 0px; padding: 0px 0px 346.609px; vertical-align: baseline; height: 0px;"><div id="smphtml5iframemedia-player-1wrp" style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 346.609px; vertical-align: baseline; z-index: 999; position: relative; height: 0px; width: 616.203px;"><iframe id="smphtml5iframemedia-player-1" name="smphtml5iframemedia-player-1" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" src="https://emp.bbc.com/emp/SMPj/2.32.13/iframe.html" allow="autoplay" title="香港立法会审议《国歌法》市民街头抗议被警方驱散" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; width: 616.203px; height: 346.609px;"></iframe></div></figure></div><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"></div></div></div></div></div></div><figcaption style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.33333; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;">香港立法会审议《国歌法》市民街头抗议被警方驱散</figcaption></figure><h2>本届立法会选举的背景及现状</h2><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">香港政坛主要有两股势力较量。 一方是亲北京、亲政府的建制派； 另一方则是亲民主派或“非建制”派，他们称以捍卫法治、自由和香港的生活方式为己任。不过，由于香港的选举制度并非遵循民主国家普遍认同的普选原则，建制派常年占据立法会多数席位无法撼动，得以让一些具有巨大社会争议的议案通过，比如近期通过的《国歌法》和高铁工程等；民主派只能通过阻挠议会（俗称“拉布”）的手段拖延议案，并出现被建制派批评为阻挠立法会正常运作的立法会乱象。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">香港《基本法》明确指出，普选行政长官和全体立法会议员是终极目标。但受限于种种条件，加上最终解释权在中国人大常委，香港至今未实现“双普选”。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">5月28日，香港立法会《国歌条例草案》二读辩论期间，民主党议员许智峰突然跑离座位，将一袋散发强烈臭味的物品投掷至主席台前，香港特区立法会主席梁君彦随即宣布暂停会议。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">从2003年反对基本法“23条”立法的七一大游行，到2014年“占领中环”运动，争取“普选”始终是重要目标。去年6月，因反对修订《逃犯条例》而引起的一系列抗争运动再次令"双普选"受到关注，并成为抗议者争取的五主要诉求之一。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">去年11月的区议会选举中，借势“反送中”示威中积攒的人气，香港民主派取得 87%的席位，改写此前不到三分之一席位的历史。令民主派备受鼓舞，认为将有机会在9月立法会选举中胜出。</p><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 12px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div data-iframe="<iframe width="480" height="270" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/bvGsNh4SUIc?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>" style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div role="region" aria-label="Youtube 用户名 BBC News 中文" style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible; position: relative;"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-53261712#jump-linkhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvGsNh4SUIc&t=1s" style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; text-decoration-line: none; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); overflow: hidden; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.3); border: 0px !important; padding: 0px !important; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">跳过 Youtube 帖子 用户名 BBC News 中文</a><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><iframe width="480" height="270" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/bvGsNh4SUIc?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; width: 591.563px; height: 333px !important;"></iframe></div><div style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.33333; margin: -5px 0px 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; background: #000000;">告知：第三方内容可能包含广告</div><p id="jump-linkhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvGsNh4SUIc&t=1s" tabindex="-1" style="font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; vertical-align: baseline; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); overflow: hidden; border: 0px !important; padding: 0px !important; position: absolute !important; height: 1px !important; width: 1px !important;">结尾 Youtube 帖子 用户名 BBC News 中文</p></div></div></div></div><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">北京在本次立法会选举前实施香港《国安法》，此举被认为是出于限制民主派夺取议会权力的考量。该法通过后，不少政治团体宣布解散，包括知名社运人黄之锋领导的“香港众志”。民主派支持者参与政治的空间被认为严重压缩。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">香港前立法会议员区诺轩7月1日在社交媒体上称，参选立法会符合香港法例，而《国安法》的一些条文主观性极强，无谓讨论。他说，目前更需要的是“谨慎行事，存坚毅的意志走下去，将市民的寄望彰显于立法会”。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">香港《国安法》实施下的立法会选举将出现怎样的对决，是一大关注焦点。</p><figure style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px -24.6406px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: #111111;"><div style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 346.609px; vertical-align: baseline; height: 0px; position: relative;"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/images/ic/720×405/p08dhbq0.jpg" style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px -25.6719px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; height: auto; max-width: 100%; user-select: none; width: 616.203px; display: block; position: absolute;" alt="" /><div style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 346.609px; vertical-align: baseline; height: 0px; position: relative;"><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div id="sticky-player-2" style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; 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color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px 0px 0px; padding: 0px 0px 346.609px; vertical-align: baseline; height: 0px;"><div id="smphtml5iframemedia-player-2wrp" style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 346.609px; vertical-align: baseline; z-index: 999; position: relative; height: 0px; width: 616.203px;"><iframe id="smphtml5iframemedia-player-2" name="smphtml5iframemedia-player-2" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" src="https://emp.bbc.com/emp/SMPj/2.32.13/iframe.html" allow="autoplay" title="香港立法会内会选举风波：亲北京派议员胜出，民主派代表混乱中被逐" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; width: 616.203px; height: 346.609px;"></iframe></div></figure></div><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"></div></div></div></div></div></div><figcaption style="border: 0px; color: #ececec; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.75rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.33333; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible;">香港立法会内会选举风波：亲北京派议员胜出，民主派代表混乱中被逐</figcaption></figure><h2>什么是“35+公民投票计划”？</h2><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">目前香港立法会有70席，地方选区和功能组别各占一半。地方选区的议席由该区选民投票选出。功能组别则代表维护社会特权阶层利益的选举，由小圈子团体投票产生，不需要竞选，很多人会自动当选。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">民主派35+公民投票计划的目标是，在本届香港立法会选举中取得民主派过半席位，即在地方选区和功能组别的席位中分别取得一半以上的议席。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">上一届2016年立法会选举中，民主派在70个议席中获得29席，包括19个地区席位和10个功能组别的席位。其中6名议员被指宣誓无效而取消资格，补选后剩下23席，占立法会总议席的三成。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">1997年香港主权移交后的几届立法会选举中，民主派都以过半数席位为目标，不过均失败告终。</p><h2>为何要争取35+？</h2><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">“35+公民投票计划”刚提出时，负责推动初选和协调参选名单的香港大学法律学院副教授戴耀廷说，该计划旨在获得对立法会的控制权，继而否决《财政预算案》，令香港宪制陷入危机。长远来看，这样可以令国际社会关注，以此制衡北京。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">香港《基本法》第50条规定，如果立法会拒绝通过香港特区政府提出的《财政预算案》，协商后仍不能取得一致意见，行政长官可以解散立法会。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">不过，自从中国人大宣布通过香港《国安法》后，民主派认为北京中央政府主动将香港推入国际角力。而此时争取“35+”的意义在于“凝聚公民力量”，戴耀廷说。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">民主派内部有不同阵营，包括传统民主派、本土派、政治素人等，分别代表不同的抗争路线。民主派认为，“35+计划”下的初选及投票有助了解民意，建立互信，并明确今后的抗争路线。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">戴耀廷认为，如果民主派最终得票率达到七成，即使最终有人被取消资格，也已经在国际社会面前取得了人民授权。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">“当权者不顾廉耻地剥夺香港人的基本权利，只会令中共自绝于国际社会，”戴耀廷说。</p><figure style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 24px -24.6406px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; clear: both;"><span style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; display: block; position: relative;"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/139DC/production/_113284308_hk_legco_seats_chart640-nc-1.png" datasrc="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/320/cpsprodpb/139DC/production/_113284308_hk_legco_seats_chart640-nc-1.png" alt="。" width="641" height="350" data-highest-encountered-width="624" style="color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; height: auto; max-width: 100%; user-select: none; width: 616.203px; transition: opacity 0.2s ease-in 0s; display: block;" /></span></figure><div id="responsive-embed-vjeastasia-648-hk_legco_gallery-app" style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div data-include-name="app" data-env="https://news.files.bbci.co.uk/include/vjeastasia/648-hk_legco_gallery" style="overflow: visible; zoom: 1; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;"><div id="gallery" style="box-sizing: inherit; position: relative; width: 591.563px; max-width: 100%; margin: auto; overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 3.25rem; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"><ul style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; font-size: 1em; margin: 0px auto; list-style-position: inside; padding: 0px; width: 591.563px; height: 397.75px;"><li data-duration="3000" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: opacity 500ms ease-in-out 0s; line-height: 1.375; width: 591.563px; list-style: none; display: block; height: 397.75px; position: relative; top: 0px; z-index: 1; filter: grayscale(0%); opacity: 1;"><figure style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 591.563px; height: 397.75px; margin: 0px;"><picture style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"><img alt="香港立法會議席. 總數. 2012年: 建制派: 17席, 民主派: 18席. 2016年: 建制派: 16席, 民主派: 19席. 由地方選區選出的5名議員被取消資格：西九龍2名，新界東2名，香港島1名. 來源：香港選舉事務委員會." src="https://news.files.bbci.co.uk/include/vjeastasia/648-hk_legco_gallery/assets/app-project-assets/img/zhongwen_trad/6.v5.png" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; display: block; max-width: 100%; height: auto; width: auto; margin: 0px auto;" /></picture><figcaption style="font-size: 0.9375rem; line-height: 1.25rem; box-sizing: inherit; position: absolute; top: 397.75px; width: 591.563px; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; padding: 0.5em; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"></figcaption></figure></li><li data-duration="3000" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: opacity 500ms ease-in-out 0s; line-height: 1.375; width: 591.563px; list-style: none; display: block; height: 449.75px; position: absolute; top: 0px; z-index: 1; filter: grayscale(0%); opacity: 0;"><figure style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 591.563px; height: 449.75px; margin: 0px;"><picture style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"><img alt="香港立法會議席. 香港島. 2012年: 建制派: 4席, 民主派: 3席. 2016年: 建制派: 3席, 民主派: 3席." src="https://news.files.bbci.co.uk/include/vjeastasia/648-hk_legco_gallery/assets/app-project-assets/img/zhongwen_trad/1.v6.png" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; display: block; max-width: 100%; height: auto; width: auto; margin: 0px auto;" /></picture><figcaption style="font-size: 0.9375rem; line-height: 1.25rem; box-sizing: inherit; position: absolute; top: 449.75px; width: 591.563px; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; padding: 0.5em; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"></figcaption></figure></li><li data-duration="3000" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: opacity 500ms ease-in-out 0s; line-height: 1.375; width: 591.563px; list-style: none; display: block; height: 449.75px; position: absolute; top: 0px; z-index: 1; filter: grayscale(0%); opacity: 0;"><figure style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 591.563px; height: 449.75px; margin: 0px;"><picture style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"><img alt="香港立法會議席. 九龍東. 2012年: 建制派: 4席, 民主派: 2席. 2016年: 建制派: 3席, 民主派: 2席." src="https://news.files.bbci.co.uk/include/vjeastasia/648-hk_legco_gallery/assets/app-project-assets/img/zhongwen_trad/2.v5.png" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; display: block; max-width: 100%; height: auto; width: auto; margin: 0px auto;" /></picture><figcaption style="font-size: 0.9375rem; line-height: 1.25rem; box-sizing: inherit; position: absolute; top: 449.75px; width: 591.563px; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; padding: 0.5em; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"></figcaption></figure></li><li data-duration="3000" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: opacity 500ms ease-in-out 0s; line-height: 1.375; width: 591.563px; list-style: none; display: block; height: 449.75px; position: absolute; top: 0px; z-index: 1; filter: grayscale(0%); opacity: 0;"><figure style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 591.563px; height: 449.75px; margin: 0px;"><picture style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"><img alt="香港立法會議席. 九龍西. 2012年: 建制派: 2席, 民主派: 3席. 2016年: 建制派: 3席, 民主派: 4席." src="https://news.files.bbci.co.uk/include/vjeastasia/648-hk_legco_gallery/assets/app-project-assets/img/zhongwen_trad/3.v5.png" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; display: block; max-width: 100%; height: auto; width: auto; margin: 0px auto;" /></picture><figcaption style="font-size: 0.9375rem; line-height: 1.25rem; box-sizing: inherit; position: absolute; top: 449.75px; width: 591.563px; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; padding: 0.5em; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"></figcaption></figure></li><li data-duration="3000" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: opacity 500ms ease-in-out 0s; line-height: 1.375; width: 591.563px; list-style: none; display: block; height: 449.75px; position: absolute; top: 0px; z-index: 1; filter: grayscale(0%); opacity: 0;"><figure style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 591.563px; height: 449.75px; margin: 0px;"><picture style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"><img alt="香港立法會議席. 新界東. 2012年: 建制派: 3席, 民主派: 6席. 2016年: 建制派: 3席, 民主派: 6席. 2名議員被取消資格" src="https://news.files.bbci.co.uk/include/vjeastasia/648-hk_legco_gallery/assets/app-project-assets/img/zhongwen_trad/4.v5.png" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; display: block; max-width: 100%; height: auto; width: auto; margin: 0px auto;" /></picture><figcaption style="font-size: 0.9375rem; line-height: 1.25rem; box-sizing: inherit; position: absolute; top: 449.75px; width: 591.563px; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; padding: 0.5em; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"></figcaption></figure></li><li data-duration="3000" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: opacity 500ms ease-in-out 0s; line-height: 1.375; width: 591.563px; list-style: none; display: block; height: 449.75px; position: absolute; top: 0px; z-index: 1; filter: grayscale(0%); opacity: 0;"><figure style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 591.563px; height: 449.75px; margin: 0px;"><picture style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"><img alt="香港立法會議席. 新界西. 2012年: 建制派: 5席, 民主派: 4席. 2016年: 建制派: 5席, 民主派: 4席. 2名議員被取消資格." src="https://news.files.bbci.co.uk/include/vjeastasia/648-hk_legco_gallery/assets/app-project-assets/img/zhongwen_trad/5.v5.png" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; display: block; max-width: 100%; height: auto; width: auto; margin: 0px auto;" /></picture><figcaption style="font-size: 0.9375rem; line-height: 1.25rem; box-sizing: inherit; position: absolute; top: 449.75px; width: 591.563px; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; padding: 0.5em; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"></figcaption></figure></li></ul><div style="box-sizing: inherit; position: absolute; bottom: 0px; right: 0px; z-index: 2; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"><button title="上一個" style="box-sizing: inherit; cursor: pointer; position: relative; margin: 0px 2px auto 0px; width: 2.75rem; height: 2.75rem; background-color: #333333; color: #f2f2f2; border-width: initial; border-style: initial; border-color: #f2f2f2; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"></button> <button title="下一個" style="box-sizing: inherit; cursor: pointer; position: relative; margin: 0px auto auto 0px; width: 2.75rem; height: 2.75rem; background-color: #333333; color: #f2f2f2; border-width: initial; border-style: initial; border-color: #f2f2f2; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"></button></div><div style="box-sizing: inherit; display: flex; position: absolute; justify-content: flex-start; bottom: 0px; left: 0px; z-index: 2; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"><button title="開始" data-state="play" style="box-sizing: inherit; cursor: pointer; position: relative; margin: 0px auto auto 0px; width: 2.75rem; height: 2.75rem; background-color: #333333; color: #f2f2f2; border-width: initial; border-style: initial; border-color: #f2f2f2; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"></button></div></div><div style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; margin: 0px auto; padding-top: 16px;"><div style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; background-color: #f2f2f2; width: 591.563px; height: 5px; overflow: hidden;"><div style="box-sizing: inherit; transition: transform 500ms ease-in-out 0s; background-color: #333333; width: 98.5938px; height: 5px; content: " "; position: relative; left: 0px; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important;"></div></div><div style="box-sizing: inherit; width: 591.563px; height: 5px; display: flex; position: relative; top: -5px; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important;"><div data-index="0" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 98.5938px; height: 15px; content: " "; align-self: center;"></div><div data-index="1" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 98.5938px; height: 15px; content: " "; align-self: center;"></div><div data-index="2" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 98.5938px; height: 15px; content: " "; align-self: center;"></div><div data-index="3" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 98.5938px; height: 15px; content: " "; align-self: center;"></div><div data-index="4" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 98.5938px; height: 15px; content: " "; align-self: center;"></div><div data-index="5" style="box-sizing: inherit; animation: 0s ease 0s 1 normal none running none !important; transition: none 0s ease 0s !important; width: 98.5938px; height: 15px; content: " "; align-self: center;"></div></div></div></div></div></div><h2>“35+”路径</h2><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">目前建制派和民主派在立法会分别占43席和23席。民主派想要取得过半席位，必须在地区直选中取得多数，并在功能组别中有所提升。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">上一届5区直选中，民主派与建制派所占席位比例见上表。民主派计划在本次地区直选中取得23席，即新界东、新界西各6席，港岛、九龙西各4席，九龙东3席。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">功能组别中，要至少再得12席才能达到“35+”。功能组别的大部分席位常年由建制派占据，想要反转相当困难。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">目前香港民主派在法律界、教育界、卫生服务界、社会福利界、会计界、信息科技界和医学界7个组别中占有席位。在“建筑、测量、都市规划及园境界”，民主派姚松炎在上届获得议席，后来被取消资格。这8个席位依然是民主派的目标。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">另外，工程界、饮食界、批发零售界，以及“体育、演艺、文化及出版”界能否取胜，将是反转选情的关键。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">初选名单显示，共有52人宣布参选民主派的地区直选和两个功能组别。候选人目前正在地区论坛辩论。</p><p style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><em style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">文中图表制作</em><em style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">： </em><em style="border: 0px; color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: 1rem; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.75; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">BBC News东亚数据新闻组Aghnia Adzkia、Arvin Supriyadi及Leben Asa</em></p></div> </div>